The Armenian-Russian relations and the arms sales issue

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Recently, the Armenian-Russian relations, concerning the statement of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov expressing "concern" over the arrests of ex-President Robert Kocharyan and CSTO Secretary General Yuri Khachaturov, have been the main topics for the debate in the Armenian social media and networks.

We already had an occasion to touch upon this topic, stressing that the decision to arrest the CSTO secretary general was a blow to other member countries of this structure. In such circumstances, the statement made by Lavrov is quite understandable. Imagine what will happen if, say, Norway arrests the NATO Secretary General, who was once the prime minister of the country? It is obvious that the actual "decapitation" of the North Atlantic alliance could not leave the structure’s member states indifferent.

A similar situation has arisen in the CSTO, and this blow has been inflicted on the authority of this structure, as well as on Armenia's positions in it. This was also the result of the state’s foreign policy shortcomings, in particular, concerning the strategic vision for security. The existing domestic uncertainty immediately became an occasion for spreading various rumors and gossip, and this was especially successfully used by the Russian so-called pro-Azerbaijani experts who spread false information that Russia will stop supplying arms to Armenia. Without confirmation of this information, in Armenia, especially in social networks, this misinformation immediately began to spread: the so-called "political scientists" and "experts", based on these gossips, made far-reaching conclusions, up to forecasts about the deterioration of the Armenian-Russian relations.

It should be noted that interstate agreements, especially if they are on arms supply, are signed on a long-term basis, and their implementation is conditioned by the level of relations, existing between states. And the level of these relations, as a rule, is based on the bilateral long-term strategic documents on cooperation. The basis of the Armenian-Russian cooperation is a document on bilateral strategic allied relations, signed in 1999. It regulates bilateral relations in various fields, including security and, in particular, arms transfers.

Consequently, the suspension of such agreements cannot happen because of one statement, especially, at the request of any experts. Nevertheless, it should be noted there are certain problems in the Armenian-Russian relations due to the change of power in our country, the vague foreign policy of the new authorities and other factors.

However, it is clear that in such a situation both sides, Armenia and Russia, should exercise special care in their actions and statements, since in both countries there is a huge number of "experts", ready to use any opportunity to undermine bilateral relations.

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